Reply #3 by backlinktalk
Editorial follow-up: ask whether the prediction was written beforehand
Suppose a person observes 100 outcomes and then highlights the strangest-looking group of five. That is different from predicting those exact five before any results appeared. A fair evaluation preserves the original prediction, its timing and all the other predictions made. Finding a pattern after inspecting the data is a starting point for a question, not evidence of predictive ability.